Research

Working Papers

Citation: Agüero, Jorge M.; Fasola, Eniola. 2022. Distributional Policies and Social Cohesion in a High-Unemployment Setting. Policy Research Working Papers; 10103. World Bank, Washington, DC.

This paper studies the impact of distributional policies on social cohesion. The focus is on South Africa, a country with the highest unemployment rate worldwide and a major destination hub for the forcibly displaced. The paper uses a regression discontinuity design based on the eligibility rule of an unconditional cash transfer program (Old Age Pension) together with multiple rounds of the country’s Social Attitudes Survey and estimates the impact of the cash transfer to the local population on over 100 variables capturing different dimensions of social cohesion, while accounting for multiple hypothesis testing. Results show a limited impact of the transfer on social cohesion. Transfer increases life satisfaction and views favorable towards racial diversity. However, it has only a marginal effect on interpersonal trust and a very small effect on attitudes towards immigration. These findings are consistent with theoretical models where anti-immigrant behaviors are not the result of low-income but rather due to non-wage factors such as ethnic background or language barriers.

Work-In-Progress

Can Increased Literacy Reduce the Supply Side of Corrupt Activities?- [Draft Avaliable on Request]

Spillover Effects of Stringency Measures on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic - [Draft Avaliable on Request]

First-year Learning Community and Student Performance Measures: A Randomized Control Trial (with Thomas Krumel, Nathan Fiala, and Theophilus Djaba)

Seeking Evidence on the Role of Policy and Payment Consequentiality in the Valuation of Water Quality Credits Co-benefits (with Pengfei Liu and Stephen K. Swallow)

Does the Nigerian Universal Primary Education Reduce Fertility? A Replication Exercise (with Jorge Agüero and Nathan Fiala)

Reports

Project page: RCT4MANU 

Air Line State Park Trail Master Plan: Count and Survey Analysis Report (with Kimberly Bradly, Aaron Budris, and Emily Wilson)